Lesser, Lawrence Mark (1995). The Role of Counterintuitive Examples in Statistics Education (Doctoral Dissertation, University of Texas at Austin, 1994). Dissertation Abstracts International, 55(10A), 3126-A. (University Microforms Inc. #DA9506033); Advisor: Ralph W. Cain. Full dissertation abstract also published in Newsletter of the International Study Group for Research on Learning Probability and Statistics, 11 (2). (April 1998; http://www.ugr.es/~batanero/v11ab98.htm) as well as in Newsletter of the International Study Group for Research on Learning Probability and Statistics, 9 (3). (July 1996; http://www.ugr.es/~batanero/v9ju96.html)
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The purpose of this study was to develop a theoretical model for the use of counterintuitive examples in the introductory non-calculus-based statistics course at the college level. While intuition and misconceptions continue to be of great interest to mathematics and science educators, there has been little research, much less consensus or even internal consistency, in statistics curriculum development concerning the role of examples with counterintuitive results. Because the study intended to provide educators with useful connections to content, instructional methods (e.g., cooperative learning) and learning theory constructs that have been successfully used in mathematics or science education, the model that emerged was organized around a typical syllabus of topics.
The study critiqued and then reconciled "Traditional" and "Alternative"
perspectives. The Traditional Position attempts to minimize possible
confusion and frustration by avoiding such examples, while the Alternative
Position uses them to motivate and engage students in critical thinking,
active learning, metacognition, communication of their ideas, real-world
problem solving and exploration, reflection on the nature and process of
statistics, and other types of activities encouraged by current reform
movements.
The study delineated specific criteria and conditions for selecting
and using counterintuitive examples to achieve numerous cognitive and affective
objectives. Examples explored include the Monty Hall problem, Simpson’s
Paradox, the birthday problem, de Méré’s Paradox, the Classification
Paradox, the Inspection Paradox, and required sample size.
The study connected many of these examples (especially Simpson’s Paradox)
with other counterintuitive examples, with known probability or statistics
misconceptions many students have, with repre--sentations from other branches
of mathematics, and with the constructivist paradigm. Problematic
issues addressed include difficulty in constructing assessment instruments
and a multiplicity of terminologies and typologies. Additional directions
for research were suggested, including several empirical investigations
of various facets of the model. The connections, examples, and representations
presented should be extremely useful for teachers of statistics, but should
also enrich the pedagogy of teachers of other courses.